Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DIA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.328528 0.359587 0.393380 0.433072 0.478664 0.529694 0.591552
2025-03-30 0.290848 0.330667 0.376437 0.433522 0.503642 0.588080 0.699217
2025-04-06 0.262587 0.307144 0.360546 0.430355 0.520890 0.636829 0.800864
2025-04-13 0.234860 0.280605 0.337185 0.413888 0.517750 0.657621 0.868054
2025-04-20 0.219884 0.268052 0.329458 0.415713 0.537658 0.710611 0.988408
2025-04-27 0.206859 0.256577 0.321641 0.415952 0.554593 0.760908 1.113821
2025-05-04 0.195483 0.246167 0.314046 0.415251 0.569431 0.809455 1.245881
2025-05-11 0.186663 0.238400 0.309209 0.417658 0.588699 0.867187 1.406370
2025-05-18 0.174362 0.224918 0.295187 0.404905 0.582388 0.881199 1.488348
2025-05-25 0.162627 0.211490 0.280269 0.389391 0.569693 0.882019 1.543925
2025-06-01 0.156532 0.205692 0.276019 0.389940 0.583500 0.931836 1.714103
2025-06-08 0.154129 0.205009 0.279201 0.402392 0.618896 1.027364 2.015427
2025-06-15 0.149716 0.201284 0.277764 0.407605 0.642954 1.107047 2.313857
2025-06-22 0.144742 0.196415 0.274193 0.408854 0.659794 1.175103 2.610603
2025-06-29 0.139372 0.190642 0.268802 0.406456 0.669318 1.229166 2.892132
2025-07-06 0.131767 0.181081 0.256821 0.391564 0.652642 1.221101 2.978445
2025-07-13 0.128187 0.177566 0.254385 0.393445 0.669823 1.295629 3.376709
2025-07-20 0.124556 0.173786 0.251268 0.393788 0.683823 1.365420 3.801166
2025-07-27 0.121001 0.169950 0.247824 0.393215 0.695769 1.432653 4.262210
2025-08-03 0.118199 0.167178 0.245991 0.395491 0.714171 1.521434 4.887165
2025-08-10 0.113090 0.160482 0.237156 0.383707 0.699754 1.515925 5.063745
2025-08-17 0.107819 0.153348 0.227282 0.369336 0.678150 1.486413 5.105349
2025-08-24 0.105378 0.150737 0.225088 0.369856 0.691117 1.561792 5.781144